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The lawsuits are done, more or less, and lawyers have been quitting on him.  There is not likely to even be many recounts.  His final avenue is this ridiculous idea that state legislatures will circumvent the popular vote, not happening.  Supposedly he will finally "concede" while simultaneously announce he's running again in 2024.

Trump is outta here in January, trust me.  The bigger issue is that he's moved to railroad the transition to Biden, plus having agencies waste their time with Trump-backed budget plans they'll never use.

They're not evil.  Trump is himself not evil, he's just a jerk off.  As I've said from day one, he's a lifelong crook with no morals or inhibitions on many things.  People looked past that for tribalism.

Yes to a hilarious $10.  Florida's is now $15.

Most news orgs have called it for Biden now.

Normally I cannot stand CNN, but they're the best in terms of covering the numbers and the breaking news.  FOX I've heard does the same, but I cannot stomach their pundits.

Nevada count will extend into Sat/Sun, which is ridiculous given they're counting like 1/100th the number that Pennsylvania is. Anyway, Biden is up 11.4K there with 63K from Vegas (likely Dem) and 60K provisional ballots (at best a wash). Georgia now a scant 13K, Biden may well pull ahead there. Pennsylvania 114K now, having gained 50K so far today. I think most news organizations are waiting for PA to call the election.

Biden is highly likely to take PA by maybe 100K votes when it's done with, as well as Nevada.  Arizona yes is a question, but the damn state only posts updates ONCE a night.  They should be finished by tomorrow supposedly.  Biden can win Georgia.

Were you around for the 2000 election?  I recall an argument where we battled over the true nature of Jesus!  Being raised Catholic, what I heard/was taught was that his care for the sick, elderly, and poor were of utmost prominence.  He proceeded to lecture me about Gospel passages, as if I was a child.  I had no wish to turn that into renewed "Reformation" fight, so I just gave up.  To me, he simply seemed incredibly angry, but I "turned the other cheek."

Who says Trump Sr. will not try to run again?

I believe SQ21 is a Texan no?  Texas right now is simply an amazing success story for democracy.  Over 9 million votes have been cast, which is half million or so above 2016 in total.  Estimates are perhaps THREE million more votes there than 2016.  How does that stack up? 

https://bfschaffner.shinyapps.io/CES2020/

I give you the 2020 Cooperative Election Study by YouGov, featuring over 50,000 likely voters ONLINE.  That means the "lying to pollsters baloney" isn't in effect.  This is the analysis which so much will be based on.  The findings are quite in line with most of the national polling Biden +9, but check out the 2016 voter results.  Biden barely loses any Clinton vote, while Trump loses 6% which is significant in a close race.  Moreover, those who voted 3rd party, or did not vote, prefer Biden by a 2 to 1 margin. 

Trump won Texas by over 800,000 votes.  If Biden takes the "new" voters 2:1, that's a gain of perhaps 1 million votes if 3 million winds up being the "new" total.  Beyond that, 2016 voters who switch candidates alone could be a 400,000 Biden swing.  Again, this is all very broad, but now you see why Beto O'Rouke and Julian Castro are screaming about putting more $$$ and appearances into the Lone Star State. 

The CES result also falls in line with most statewide and district-based polling in states like Pennsylvania, where Trump's suburban white margins are polling 8-12 points worse than 2016.  It's true he has slightly closed the black margin, and greatly closed the Hispanic margin.  However, the Hispanic margins won't do much for him in the Rust Belt. 

I repeat *once more* Trump needs record turnout from MAGA, plus depressed turnout from Dems, plus at worst an even margin with indies, and that's just to overcome the negative demographic shift over 4 years.  Someone tell me where that's coming from?  Lying to pollster voters won't cut it.  I'm not sure WHEN these states will have the counts in sufficiently to see who won, but there's simply little to no good news for Trump in high quality polling out there.  We know his plan, it's to attempt to throw out millions of ballots.  It won't work, because I have a feeling that enough of them will have been counted nationwide to show he lost, perhaps quite demonstratively.  That might well come before the end of next week, and he won't have time to file injunctions to stop them, let alone that there are judges willing to even do so.

As I have stated many times, this election for me is not about policy at all.  I've said many times, I would HATE Mike Pence's policies, but I would take him any day of the week over this psychopath.  This election is beyond character, it's a question of whether the President is unfit.  To me he is not even close to fit, and as many joked, a tomato can, toilet, dog, cat, bird, snake, Atari 2600, yesterday's meatloaf, etc., would be fitter.  I simply disagree with ANY rationale behind voting FOR this guy, to me they simply don't exist.  You cannot rationalize having something insane continue in this role. 

On TF's joke, I read that Trump's own legal team donated 5-figures to Biden, FIFTY BUCKS to Donald.  Ha ha ha! 

On the polling front, I saw that the Dem challenger to Mark Meadow's old house seat in NC is now ahead.  A highly ominous sign for GOP/Trump there.

Fauci is trusted by a majority of Republicans.  Trump has nothing left, he's just going to scream at his base to come and vote no matter what.  I was in the Ford dealer today waiting for a recall repair, they had Fox News on the TV.  Good Gracious, pure insanity.  Forget the bull they babble about on air, which was literally 90% Hunter Biden, the commercials!!!  There's a Trump approved ad where Anderson Cooper asks Biden about gun regulations, followed by the narrator warning that guns will be taken away (something neither Anderson nor Joe says) and then they cut to a clip of Biden saying BINGO.  I mean, this is fourth grade stuff, that would be seen as hilarious if it weren't so insane.  It's Ross J. Kelly stuff.

http://politicaliq.com/2020/10/19/never … the-polls/

Scott Rasmussen finds 4% of the electorate is likely to be Never Trumpers supporting Biden, a percentage which reversed would result in a tie.  Further evidence that Biden's center-left "I'm Trump's opposite" strategy, that has cost him some on the fringe of the African-American/Latino vote, has picked up more than enough white college, seniors, women to win this.

Cool concept.  ST:TNG was very good at character-driven episodes that delved deep into the past of said character.  Sliders quite frankly was terrible at it.  Which is why reading your idea, my initial thought was, well that wouldn't work on Sliders!  But in reality it's because we just never got to see it.  I think Tracy really wanted to do it with Arturo's jealousy of Quinn but JRD fought it.  A deep dive like that is exactly what the premise for Counterpart, which I really enjoyed.  It's definitely something that a "modern" Sliders iteration would likely go into, especially since acting against green screens is so common now.  I have a feeling the production team back then weren't keen on doing it much, so the doubles were usually off screen.

Carson City, NV Trump rally today.  Totally insane.  We need this election to END already before he's infected the whole country.

Current estimates are that we may see 150-160 million votes, well above the 137 million that voted in 2016.  Enthusiasm from likely voters is through the roof.  Meanwhile the Supreme Court once again stopped census takers, and the GOP proceeds with its cabal to pack the federal courts.  If those estimates remain, turnout would easily exceed 60% perhaps as high as 65%.  60% has not occurred since Kennedy/Johnson, while 65% hasn't happened since the days of Teddy Roosevelt!  I cannot possible see how that benefits Republicans nationally, as they traditionally get trounced in high turnout elections.  In fact, the % of likely voters who say that the outcome of the election is very important is higher than it's been in decades.

Just to recap, one candidate has been endorsed by the Proud Boys and other associated White Supremacist groups AND the Taliban, while the other was endorsed by the New England Journal of Medicine.

Pence was a talk radio host for years, so yes, he's mastered the art of communicating.  However, he interrupted and ignored the moderator most of the night.  Women judged his performance with great disdain.

Biden hasn't answered the Court question because I don't think he has decided on it.  Hell, even I haven't decided if I approve of adding justices.

You guys forgot the entire Joint Chiefs of the Pentagon are in quarantine.  Trump had a maskless Gold Star family event inside the WH the day after the Barrett event.  He's going down in flames, and the question will be how many Republicans burn with him?

I saw the Don Jr. thing the other day.  The children are scared of Daddy Donny, they won't do squat.  Eric Trump was forced to testify the other day in NYC.  It's the legal and financial fallout which Don Jr. is most afraid of.  Ivanka doesn't care because Kushner has his own money, she's taken care of.

The key states on Nov. 3 will be Ohio and Florida, because they count ballots as they arrive, so their figures at night will be quite full.  If Biden has either of those called for him, it's over.

The only shock is that Trump hasn't caught CV by now! 

The number infected is just going to grow.  The Republican Senators all had lunch each day last week, probably spread it further.  McConnell is sadistically trying to ram Barrett into the Supreme Court.  They're recessing for a couple weeks but will return with like a week left before they recess again for the election.  As of now, they do not have a quorum (51 Senators present), because the Democrats could simply fail to show up.

The irony is just unimaginable.  If Amy Coney Barrett was still "shedding virus" and gave it to X number of people inside the WH reception (VIP's had something inside, no masks).  There's 3 GOP senators already infected, and she won't get confirmed before the election.  You couldn't write this for Curb Your Enthusiasm.

No pleasure here either.  However, Trump knew that hicks was sick, and he was feeling something, but still traveled to NJ for a fundraiser.  He and his entire White house have thumbed their nose at this virus, and now they've got it.  If anything, it's just another in the long line of reasons to reject this man's complete lack of leadership and irresponsibility.

Get Out the Vote, canvassing, voter registration drives, ehhhhhh, does it make that much of a difference?  I've listened/read prominent political strategists with eons of experience who don't think it does.  At least, not in a Presidential election that is competitive, which is by virtue a "high turnout" election.  So you're not going to really be able to turnout much more than the "high."  The theories go that people who regularly vote in high turnout elections are going to continue to do so, and don't really need to be found in person.  Those who regularly don't vote, still won't.  Several battleground states allow same day registration anyway, for new voters. 

On Trump's thinking, he doesn't think he CAN win over new voters.  Like I said, he is pretty clear he's probably going to lose, so like you said, he's trying to "change the electorate" through suppression, litigation, and legislation.  Good luck with that Don. 

PS: Hope Hicks has coronavirus, and Trump may have to quarantine for several days, meaning no rallies!

PS, PS: Trump and Melania tested positive.  I guess he shouldn't have been mocking Biden Tuesday night for wearing a mask all the time.

Well as I said, the guys who own networks like OANN or Newsmax are billionaires already, so they can afford to cut Trump a big check.  There's the thing though, again, he's a phony.  His fans love how he bashes reporters for 15 minutes. or his soundbites from the rallies.  That won't sustain a TV network.  He'll put even his ardent supporters to sleep, this wouldn't be like the Apprentice where ol' Don would appear for 10 minutes, mouth a bunch of lines written for him, and say "you're fired!"  People love the myth of Trump, the actual orange babbling dufus, not quite as much. 

Biden was unprepared for being heckled nonstop, I think we all were.  My advice to him is to make a HUGE point in then next debate that he's the ONLY candidate who trusts the American institutions of democracy.  Even more importantly, only he trusts the American voter.  Trump does not, he wishes to derail democracy and lives in fear of the voter.

This happens every cycle, a Republican candidate does poorly so his supporters blame the moderator.  The money is raised is important, but I'm not sure where they can place it right yet.  Though the polling is not of the highest quality, Biden is now TIED with Trump in South Carolina, Georgia, Texas, Iowa, and even ALASKA!!!  ALASKA.  Senate races are tied in many of those states now.  This is the type of disastrous sinking of the GOP ticket which Republicans feared in 2016, but didn't materialize, but did sink them in 2008.  Five weeks to go, but Trump could not have done his or his party any worse last night short of chasing after Biden/Wallace with projectile vomit.

I'm going to attempt a sane commentary on the complete INSANE event I witnessed tonight....Trump is (if you give any credit to polling) trailing. Did he help his case with undecided voters? I cannot see how. I felt many of his comebacks were actually pretty good (though again they are dubious), but that's not what viewers will take away. They'll take away only that this was a complete fiasco of chaos. Trump didn't allow the viewer to let what he was saying sink in, before railing on something else, arguing with Chris Wallace. If I had to grade it, Trump "won" on COVID response, and law and order, but lost the 2nd half on white supremacy, ballots, and frankly Biden whacked him good on the Hunter attacks. Al Gore took a dive in polls for being a weirdo then a robot, now Trump will be lampooned as a lunatic. The reality is the country lost. Completely a mess, and now people are saying cancel future debates.

PS: If there was a drug test pre-debate, Trump would have surely lost because he must have taken a suitcase of speed.

Trump's supporters are irrelevant, this kind of story might sway some people on the fence, but it's really more of the same.  The irony is that Trump's use of Net Operating Loss, depreciation, and other means to lower his tax burden are not unique to him.  Most of the 1% do this, avoiding staggering $$$ of income taxes that the rest of us have to pay for.  There's not really anything illegal done, although he signed two bills (his 2018 tax cut and the CARES act earlier this year) which allow people like him to further use NOL to skip taxes basically indefinitely.  The system is a joke.

The source of illegality would be if Trump inflated his assets to obtain loans, which is another story.  However, while many probably laughed at details such as writing off Ivanka's makeup artist or Trump's hair stylist, those meager write-offs are highly questionable, and often what investigators can hammer you on for tax evasion.

Lastly, the best part of the story is that it's egg on Trump's face, which will drive him totally up the wall.  He flips out when his manhood, wealth, and intelligence are mocked.

Ironically I assumed one device that Dems could use to pressure McConnell on Ginsberg seat was the passage of the budget.  Well, he went ahead and rejected it today so the Govt is headed for a shut down anyway!  What an absolute TOOL.

https://variety.com/2020/digital/news/r … 234775220/

In terms of aiding Jerry's Peacock bid, Roku and NBC agreed on Peacock, still waiting on Amazon to carry it.