Re: American Politics: Discuss and Debate
Democrats are blaming Biden for the loss, for wasting time, for not committing to one term, for not letting a new candidate take center stage well in advance and distinguish themselves as separate from Biden, and for turning a deaf ear to inflation and the pain it was causing the working class.
I agree with some of this. I admit that I was intrigued by the idea of Biden being a one-term president, but I think the entire endeavor may have been doomed from the start. As per usual, the Democrats are 100% on the right side of history but are awful at playing politics. Even if Biden had agreed on January 21st, 2021 that he was going to be a one-term president, I don't know what you do about Kamala Harris. She was chosen to appease black voters, and even though she was the best of that group, she obviously wasn't the right candidate for 2024.
Would three years of getting to know her help Kamala? Or hurt her? If she was the de facto 2024 candidate, would the Biden Administration have done anything differently? And if so, why? Even if Biden expected to run in 2024, he was almost 80 or above 80 for his entire presidency. Even if he didn't drop out, there was a reasonable chance that she would've been the candidate because of Biden's death. So it doesn't make sense for them to treat her any differently whether Biden announced he was a one-term president or not.
Would she have gotten credit for more of Biden's wins and allow Biden to take blame for more of his losses? I guess...but why would Biden do that? He only gets one term and he's basically using it to prop up Kamala Harris? I don't see why Biden would do that or why he'd be forced to do it? I think they probably could've put Kamala up front more. She obviously worked on her public persona because it went up the more people saw her. But again...what would she do that she wasn't already doing?
And I still just do not believe in any world would people have been okay with an open primary. If she wins, it would upset the black vote (which was already teetering) because they would've (rightfully?) seen the party as using her for the win in 2020 and discarding her because they didn't think she could win the big job. I assume the process would've gone the exact same way as Biden's primary did - a random democrat would've gone against her, there would be no debate, and she'd win every state. I don't think it would've accomplished anything.
Would the extra time have helped? Maybe? But I feel like her campaign did a pretty good job of outlining her proposals. Time wouldn't have helped her distance from Biden because that was a choice. I'm also not sure how much distancing from Biden would've helped because you might end up making your base mad if you throw your popular (within the party) president under the bus.
But let's assume that they could've had an open primary without upsetting the black vote (or the women vote). Who beats her in a primary? Gavin Newsom? Does he beat Trump? Gretchen Whitmer? Is she any more ready than Harris was? I like Pete Buttigieg, but I think it was the wrong election to have a gay candidate.
When you look back at it, it seems like no candidate had any chance. People wanted Trump. And boy are they going to get him.
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Now was there something Biden, as president, could have done? Almost certainly. I don't understand why more wasn't done at the border. Seemed like an easy enough win, particularly as his border policy didn't win any voters. I have to assume his border policy was designed to get Latino votes back, but it sure didn't work.
I think the infrastructure bill was good. I think progress was made on climate stuff. But I think the biggest failure was probably Biden's inability to make any progress with the blue collar voters that a) were traditionally democratic and b) voted for Barack Obama. Even the stuff he did with unions fell on deaf ears. He saved their pensions, and they still didn't endorse him.
I don't know. It's a mess. The only good news is that, if the Republicans allow another presidential election, I think the country is going to be a disaster in 2028. It will probably be a big enough disaster in 2026 that the Democrats should win huge in 2026. There will be gas shortages, food shortages, insanely high prices, lost jobs, American troops on at least one battlefield (I assume helping wipe out the Palestinians and maybe finishing off Ukraine), and massive loss of rights. I assume even some hardcore Trump people are going to massively regret their votes as soon as this time next year.
But what does the Democratic base look like? I really think trying to figure out how to get all the stupid people back might help. I don't know how you do that. More racism? They seem to like wearing ridiculous clothes. Maybe Democrats can capitalize on that somehow? Free meth?