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https://www.270towin.com/2020-election- … edictions/

They list all the maps out.  290 would include Biden winning Wisconsin, Minnesota, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Arizona, all states he is ahead on average above the margin of error.  That does not include Florida, North Carolina, Iowa, Ohio, George, or Texas, all of which Trump leads or trails WITHIN the margin of error.  Nor are most of the maps giving those states to Trump, most of them are simply "toss ups" right now.

That means if the polls stand, and wind up being accurate within 2-3 points off the RCP average, as they have been in every election besides 2016, Trump will lose and lose "bigly."  In fact, you could argue that Biden's margins are actually very close to the polling from 2012 in which his former boss won easily.  Obama's polling was actually underestimated in the RCP averages that year in several states. 

So again, unless the polls are once again, grotesquely inaccurate like 2016, Trump will lose.  That's without even talking about his laughably bad approval rating (-double digits), unfavorables (-double digits), and Biden's favorables (+5).

I too finally got around to watching Suicide Squad and Birds of Prey.  I thought both were pretty good.  They had a clear formula, well acted and with good effects.  Light years better than the Justice League trash and frankly I'd put Aquaman in there too.  My only complaint was they were too violent, but I actually expected them to be far more so.

Here's the thing, would it be "easier" to do an animated Sliders, which Netflix has been buying up for other properties, AND get the original cast back?  Possibly.  Then again, I'm not sure if John or Sabrina or Cleavant are even up to another go whether animated or live action.  Jerry is, but he's still an active actor, the others are not quite.

well 40% would mean Trump is routed in November.  obviously my concern is the number is more like 48%!!!

And these people are paid to cite the obvious?

It's random, but the violence from the legit radical left is nationwide right now.  They're just invading city after city and burning shit down.  It all works in Trump's favor though because he and the right-wing will harp on it for months.  Portland is out of control.  You have supposedly BLM protestors demanding people's homes, restaurants, and mobbing people who have nothing to do with any of this.  Yes it's isolated and of course blown out of proportion by social media, but it all works to Trump's "law and order" (for anyone but his family) narrative.

Kinda has a New Gods For Old feel to it.

Quick thoughts from this stupid DC Fan day or whatever.....

Synder Cut JL - This is like when you play the same video game over, make different choices, and get new cutscenes, right?

The Batman - As I often bickered with Info over, just too dark, sadistic, graphic, violent, etc. for me.  I truly don't understand the need for these films.  Leave the gore for horror and violence for war movies. 

Wonder Woman 84 - Glad to see it's still got humor in it.  The film though will rise/fall based on the villainous performance of Kristin Wiig, and that is probably too tall an order.  She's just not "menacing."

Suicide Squad Roll Call - What was the point, had no footage?

And so have to be honest, at least WW84 looks like fun, and The Suicide Squad is a combat adventure.  The other two, blehhhhh, I mean, they're joyless.

Not sure what will come of it though if you recall Amb. Sondland in the Ukraine mess?  Like DeJoy, he was just a big Trump donor who was given a job like this as a result.  Like Sondland, I truly do not believe DeJoy has the stomach to defend Trump to the point of putting his own butt on the line.

Gotta love the protests building at the home of the moron Postmaster in Washington!

https://twitter.com/KolbieReports/statu … 0004469760

He's a grifter my man, the Sham-Wow guy, it's really that simple.  His plan is to divert billions from FEMA (with hurricane season coming) to pay for 75% of the $400 while BROKE states must pay 25% but he gave them no more aid.  His payroll tax shit is just plain putrid.  The Republicans against Trump are already preparing an ad blitz, where Trump ADMITTED he will eliminate that tax if re-elected.  That means he is FOR the abolition of Social Security!!!  Madness!

In other news, Joe Biden was out biking with secret service.  He wore a mask and no helmet (come on Joe), but another shot to the "he's too old" line from Trump, who would wipe out if he attempted to do the same. 

This story takes the cake though....

https://www.cnn.com/2020/08/09/politics … index.html

Trump made a big stink about the Kodak deal, but it's now under (Shocking) SEC investigation, and he said "I wasn't involved in the deal."

Apparently Trump now 100% fine with mail in voting in Florida.  Why is it okay to have mail-in voting in Florida and not elsewhere? Trump: "Florida has a great Republican governor..."

I could Biden see whooping Trump's ass literally, no holds barred.

https://www.yahoo.com/news/white-house- … 23670.html

White House scrapped a national CV-19 plan because the spring infections were primarily in blue states, and they thought they'd get away with blaming those Dem Governors for it.

Some polls are just plain bad, in both directions.  I would focus on things like the RCP (Real Clear Politics) average.  Take Michigan for instance, where polls range from +6 to +12, and RCP's formulated avg. is 8.4.  I ignore that number, instead check out the % for each candidate.  Biden is at 49.6, Trump is at 41.2.  Biden is literally polling at 50%, with TEN 10% of the poll undecided. 

Now, there's a margin of error and maybe some people lie to pollsters, whatever.  There's a second consideration, which is vital.  There are no moderately known 3rd party choices this year, none.  I have no clue who the Libertarian or Green Parties will nominate.  It doesn't matter, they're nobodies, similar to 2008 or 2012 most recently.  That is quite important, because that makes it even more of a binary choice.  For argument's sake, there's 7% undecided in MI avg polling.  Let's give Donny an edge 4-3, and say Biden really is favored around 52-45 there.  So you mean to tell me voter suppression, lying to pollsters, whatever, will erase a SEVEN point edge?  I'm sorry, that simply does not happen. 

Clinton's RCP lead in MI was around 4% for most of the time, but that's with a significant 3rd draw to Johnson and Stein of nearly 7%.  Hillary/3rd party's lost 4% in the final results, with Trump moving up 5.5%.  A big chunk of people either did not bother to vote for Hillary or opted at the last juncture to say eff it and voted for Trump.  The state's electoral results since 2016 have been a 180, totally against Trump/GOP.  That's one state, but there's a consistent scenario in many other states which Biden currently holds leads in. 

Trump has begun to attempt to act like he's serious about the CV-19 and whatnot.  Here's his problem.  He needs to keep that up for nearly THREE months without unleashing utter nonsense during briefings.  The cancellation of the campaign tour is obviously a big help to gaffe-prone Biden, but it's also a plus for Trump.  There's fewer chances for him to go lunatic in a speech since he's got no crowd in front of him expecting red meat.  My prediction is his convention speech is a complete meltdown of vitriol, and that's basically the end of the campaign right there, well before any debate meltdowns.

Well ol' Barry speaks the truth.  The problem for Trump is that campaign rhetoric has really been absent as a result of the pandemic, economic collapse, and BLM protests.  He can't go on the road and start babbling off to his supporters, both due to the pandemic, and more importantly, nobody will be there to listen out of shear boredom.  There will be an onslaught online, but many forums like Twitter, Reddit, Google/YouTube, etc. have been clamping down on it.  Facebook of course remains the wild west.  Then you have the Lincoln Project, Meidas Touch, RVAT, VoteVets, etc., etc. all aligned against him and the GOP.  That's not even considering what the DNC will do with ads and outreach.

Meanwhile Trump continues to make the wrong headlines, worsening his political standing with anyone who doesn't have his MAGA yard sign.  All he has are fearmongering tactics.  I've read multiple Republican accounts outside the campaign, who are flabbergasted that he has zero, repeat, zero platform for the "next four years."  What is he selling?  Shouldn't that be a top consideration?  This law and order nonsense will not work out as he hopes.  Meanwhile people's livelihoods have been decimated.  I expect a fully divisive, rambling, incoherent convention speech from him.  I expect a debate disaster where he's repeatedly fact checked and hammered on the head by Biden for "quitting on the American people." 

This guy has become the flashpoint on just about everything.  Violent protests, coronavirus surges, Russian bounties, massive unemployment, I could go on and on.  Even when he shouldn't be in the middle of it, he keeps interjecting himself, misguiding his supporters and haters to take stupid sides and go to war.  I do not see a silent majority of MAGA out there at all, MAGA is loud and whiny and belligerent.  No I believe there's a silent majority of disgust AT MAGA.  A reckoning is coming.  Again, he'll leave, trust me.  If he loses as many predict, Trump will be on the golf courses by Thanksgiving.  I'd say he'd reappear for Inauguration but he won't want to be seen with Obama.

It doesn't matter what stunt Trump pulls.  He's lost on nearly EVERY single one.  Each time he tries to go beyond the law, tries to subvert the Constitution, institutions have checked him.  The only one which has protecting him were the GOP Senate, because they wished to retain their majority.  That's over with now, he's radioactive and they are quickly running for the exits.  Plus they can't save him.  Too many of the "swing states" are governed by Democrats (WI, MI, PA).  What is he going to try to do, sue in a half dozen states if he's losing?  On what basis?  There will be parties in the streets all over the news.  Many Republican hardcore insiders have said if Trump cannot turn things around in a perceivable way in the next few weeks, he's toast.  His convention plans are now completely destroyed.  Biden and the DNC have their slate I'm sure largely worked out what they'll broadcast.  The RNC do not know what to do, or where to even have their delegates.  Charlotte and Jacksonville have both kicked them out.  I'm still not ruling out that Donny throws his hands up at some point, and says F this.

Biden would be hamstrung by a GOP Senate, even if a minority, that would refuse pretty much anything he or Pelosi/Schumer were to propose.  Bernie, Warren, Pete, Harris, Amy, all would have the same roadblock.  The GOP simply isn't interested in government-based social programs, such as child care, education, public healthcare option, etc.  Bernie couldn't get most Democrats to sign his 10% cut to the DoD in order to fund other priorities.  The lobbyists are too strong. 

Ted Cruz is the front runner they say for 2024.  He just said Americans are stuck at home and depressed so they'll vote for Biden.

https://twitter.com/thehill/status/1286020941672153089

As for Trump, this article really hits the nail on the head.  Trump is simply a man devoid of a soul, constantly bitter, with nothing that interests him besides making people's lives miserable.  He is only guided by the grudges he holds.

https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archi … ty/614434/

Sounds like a Jon Stewart bit there TF!!!!  Not for nothing, but you have anti-mask demonstrations everywhere, not only in The South, and Florida is down there but has dummies who hailed from up North too.

Meanwhile, Trump's niece is a cable ratings hit with her book that is flying off the virtual shelves.  Chuckle chuckle chuckle.

Nice!  Obvious question, I'm sure the rooms were on a sound stage, but was the bar and lobby from the actual hotel?

Trump is mentally ill. 

Biden's campaign are doing a little in Texas and some other states, but most of their upcoming ad buys are in the rust belt, where he's now further ahead.  They win those states, they win the White House.  Don't need Texas or even Florida where he's further and further ahead.  Trump is Biden's best campaigner at this point.  The buffoon just makes it easier and easier for Joe.  His latest anti-Biden slogan was you'll have war in the streets if we elect Biden, yet the video clips were shot during TRUMP's term!!!!!!!!

Trump is going down the drain as the virus rages.  Hillary Clinton would not have behaved in the manner Trump has with the virus.  Shit, I don't think Ted Cruz would have been this much of a total jackass.  This virus is worse than people realize.  It may never go away, like the common cold, and infect people year after year.  Immunity, even with a vaccine, sounds unlikely to last very long.  At some point, society may just have to live with it, and those who are sickly or at risk, will be totally fucked.  Idiots like Trump, Brazil's Bolsonero, Putin, and others allowed this virus to blow up the world. 

Beyond that, would Hillary have been embroiled in the kinds of impeachable scandals left and right as Trump?  I doubt it.  The email thing was a total joke.  Ivanka got caught doing the same thing months into the Trump regime.  As for wars, well I'm not sure how she would have dealt with Russian aggression, or Syria, or whatever?  Whatever she had planned, it sure beats the hell out of enduring the disaster this pandemic has made of the world.

Ha ha ha!  Laughing.  Oh, and I loved Waiting and that usher guy was incredibly annoying in that video, too.

I only watch Stargirl, I find it quite refreshing.  As it seems the pandemic will probably keep me home for quite some time, I am likely to do a massive CW DC rewatch.  I have wanted to rewatch Smallville particularly the high school years as I missed a lot of eps.  Then I'd move to the others.  Legends of Tomorrow and Supergirl of course have quite a bit of scifi and parallel universe stuff in them.  What sucks is that most of it is on stupid Hulu which I don't have.

He clearly hates the job, because he doesn't do it.  He doesn't read his briefings, and has failed to set policy objectives which Congress has any chance of passing.  Does he enjoy the power?  Most likely, but Trump is a narcissist, his ego must be filled continually.  He enjoys the reality show aspects, but not the actual job.  Trump's absurd projection of himself in the public sphere is what he covets the most. 

That is why I am fully positive that he's privately considering ALL options.  Voter suppression and Russian interference I'm sure are part of that discussion.  But I truly believe he's concocting exit strategies as we speak, based on his polling, Congressional support, emerging scandals, whatever.  He might be an idiot when it comes to public policy, but Trump is a savant when it comes to mapping out his own personal parachute.  As I've remarked many times, it's what he does.  Atlantic City, the USFL, an airline, golf courses, hotels, NBC show, steaks, phony charity, and a real estate university.  Each time, when the venture goes belly up, and usually in less than 4 years, he and his family always find a way to do a Blues Brothers under the stage and through the sewer escape.  I do not believe we will see Trump get blown out in November.  If that seems likely, he will get out.  The embarrassment of losing is what he will try to avoid at all costs.

Biden, well, look, in 1987 despite being a fairly well known Senator, he was still a national nobody.  He was cleared of the plagiarism, something today we'd all laugh about.  He wasn't the main candidate that year anyway, that was Gary Hart.  In 2008, yeah he ran, but again, he was not in the conversation early and raised no money so out he went.  This time around, unlike any time before, he stepped in as the front runner, the person that the rank and file were hoping to see run.  Despite gaffs and the Burisma nonsense, Tara Reade, and whatever else, Biden is still standing.  How?  The reason is clear, Trump.  Donald Trump's loathsomeness has kept the Biden campaign relevant to more voters than anyone else.  While the others tried to run on policies, Biden simply ran as the anti-Trump.  It's not a slogan, it's just a perception.  People know him, they trust him, some even like him.  But it's Trump, time and time again, who says and does things which make people cringe.  Then they see/hear Joe Biden, and despite his somewhat clumsy way of communicating, is somewhat reassuring.  He's like having your savings account FDIC insured.  If anyone expects Trump to tone down the rhetoric or develop a sane presence on TV, you need to see a therapist.  He's like a tooth ache.

First of all, Biden's best defense/offense has been that unlike Donald, he will actually READ the briefings, and listen to the advice of experts.  Trump's motto was that smart people are to be laughed at, because he's got all the answers.  Remember "stable genius?" 

In any event, let's not act like the President needs to be sitting in front of a computer fixated and working like mad as if he were the fat guy trying to unlock the doors in Jurassic Park.  Obama did none of that.  The President makes decisions, that's his or her job.  The information is taken to them.  Biden has also been using his experience with foreign leaders as a selling point, something again Trump has been a disaster with, particularly on phone calls. 

Lastly, in the debates during the primary, Biden got into trouble when he tried to exaggerate his "liberal" credentials or was unable to dodge modern liberal criticisms on his center-left positions from 30/40 years ago.  Here again, is Donald Trump the "guy" to attempt to question Biden's position on racism?  The man who TODAY told a FOX news host that black people need to read history or it will happen to them again (re: removing Confederate statues).  Think about that, if they take the monuments down, they run the risk of FORGETTING about slavery.  This is the guy to critique Biden's decades-old positions?   When Trump was being sued for racist housing policies, or later wanted the black Central Park Five executed for a crime they didn't even commit.  That guy?  Yeah, good luck there.  Trump couldn't even respond coherently to Sean Hannity, how do you expect him to fair in a debate?

PS: You guys have to get the primary debates out of your heads.  Candidates will say whatever they can to be ingratiated with voters.  And yes, Biden may have his work cut out for him, although Mitch McConnell hilariously pleaded with Senate Dems not to remove the filibuster if they retake control.  Hilarious, remove it, and push through legislation Americans want to see, who cares if the useless Senate GOP complains.  They had 4 years to grow spines.

Already blaming Jared Kushner for giving bad advice for 3.5 years, he whined about that today.  The Excuse Express is ready to leave the station.

Interesting, you know, this concept leads me to wonder if Sliders writers had something of an unwritten rule that the group always arrives on these weirdo worlds AFTER they've been hit by cataclysm or been morphed solidly into some type of fascist society.  They rarely landed in worlds for very long which were quite frankly lunatic-villes.

Look NJ has a flag that looks like cigarette stained drapery.

On the Trump front, more and more reporting indicates he's known Russia has been paying bounties for dead American troops in Afghaninstan for over a year, and lied about it. Hasn't done jack about it. Only logical explanation is he's a Russian asset. They got him elected, he covers for them every chance he gets. What other explanation is there, honestly?

Again, Bolton briefed him about bounties in March 2019. In April three Marines were carbombed. In February 2020, US Intelligence briefed him again that there was sufficient intel on the validity of bounties. Four months have gone by, and nothing. Nothing. Worst traitor in American history.  I am EFFING furious. Trump needs to resign yesterday.

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/06/29/trump-r … ruary.html

In TF's backyard, the last state flag with a clear Confederate emblem in it will soon be changed.  Mississippi's Governor is expected to sign a bill today I believe that finally removes it!

What finally did it you ask?  Well the NCAA declared last week that MS would not have been allowed to host ANY NCAA championship events until the flag was gone.