Here's the question....is Biden's senility progressively fading away? It's a serious and growing concern. Especially for older Americans who have had the misfortune of witnessing this in their family members. However, the White House naturally, and many Democrats have refused to broach the subject, because they view this as catastrophic to their chances at winning. They make up ridiculous excuses, such as this week when it was said that apparently Joe Biden cannot operate after 8PM! That is supposed to relieve the pressure? They blamed his debate on JET LAG from 2 weeks earlier! Come on. Politics is about perception. His debate was frightening. That's on top of these widely distributed videos where the President looks ashen and blank. He moves worse and worse. The video with Obama on stage, or at that concert looking, again bluntly, like an extremely elderly person. The GOP ragged him on this stuff, but now it's liberals saying it. We need to ignore the source, and simply examine the evidence. Biden, looks and speaks, like an old man with cognitive decline that is accelerating. Frankly I have been quite shocked myself how poorly he's been in the last several months. I used to scoff at the Biden bashing over his age and whatnot, but the last several months, I cannot keep the wool over my eyes. He is impaired, and it's getting worse. You're asking the public to ignore what they SEE, to vote for a man now, who may well be unable to serve a year a from now? It's simply not fair on the voter.
I said months, hell it might have been last year, that he should have stepped aside and allowed for an open primary. The public polling was clear, they don't want EITHER of these guys on the ballot. I said over and over, the party which dumps one of the geezers would have the inside line. I still believe that. Let Harris move up and pick up a Governor like Polis or Shapiro. I'm not enamored with Kamala, but she can run on Biden's record, and will absolutely DEMOLISH the old fatso on stage. We need a candidate with zest, who can speak for themselves and defend their record against the comical lies of the golf cart blimp. We need a damn fighting chance here. You have more and more Democratic politicians, former and current operatives, and donors who are completely freaked out. They were skittish on Biden before, they are panicked now. The calls will grow for him to step down. Despite what his wife, or worse, his son, have been advising him to do. Biden will be seen with EMPATHY by Americans not pity, and that will galvanize the Biden coalition.
The Biden side says, you can't replace him, the others poll worse! Nonsense! They are NOT running. When a person declares or wins a nomination, the polls quickly adjust. You cannot ignore based on hypothetical's. Many don't know who Newsom is, or Whitmer, hell I'm sure many voters don't really have a true opinion on Kamala Harris. That all changes when the spotlight of the media coverage does. You won't find more of a life long fan of Joe Biden than me. I think he's plenty fine doing the job of President, which these days is not as intense as people think. Obama and Trump also didn't sit there working day and night. Joe cannot campaign for this job. I truly cannot see what the alternative is now. Trump is the EASIEST jackass on Earth to beat. He is legit hated, the majority view him as a criminal, and his debate answers were Billy Madison level stupid, and often he was flat out NASTY. He was caught on video the other day badmouthing Biden and then Harris, he will continue to run a mean spirited campaign. That crap doesn't work, people on the fence don't like that tone. It was one thing in 2016 when Trump just made fun of people, it's now in your face, Yankees' bleacher creature foul mouthed.
I am repeating myself, but here's the best way I can liken it. Yes, Biden can be presented in an ultra-controlled manner from now until November, to limit the gaffes and maybe get his message across. That is NOT enough!!!! This is not 2020. Biden for the past year only seems to have speeches outside Philly. He goes nowhere. The White House have hidden him/blockaded him. For a guy who is probably trailing Trump as we speak, this will not suffice. You need a candidate who will go places, talk to people, charge up the base, the campaign teams, the donors, and will be shown on national television speaking clearly and decisively. If he were up 5-6 points nationally, it might have worked out. He's not, he's probably losing, has low approval, and vast majorities of Americans simply don't think he is capable doing the job. The most clear reaction in polling was, Joe, time to go.
PS: SQ21 you asked about polls, just follow Political Polls @Politics_Polls they repost everything. Again, a lot of them are of questionable integrity and mathematics. 538, Real Clear Politics, they all do averages as well. Biden is losing most all of them. My point on their reliability though is that Democratic Senator candidates seem to be AHEAD in these same states where Biden is behind. I think this is where the voter is. They don't want Trump, but between Biden's issues on immigration, inflation, interest rates, housing costs, and now a barrage of worries over whether he can actually perform Presidential duties, he's screwed. Like you said, the margins were narrow even in 2020. The red light is that Biden, in third party comparisons, is in the THIRTIES in many of these polls. That is BADDDDDD! These ppl don't want to vote for Trump, but their support of Biden is as thin as tissue paper now. They likely won't vote at all, undervote, or whatever. Those are lost votes the Democrats cannot afford to lose.
PS2: I also have, unfortunately, continued to be proven right about Trump's legal cases. They will all be delayed ad infinitum, he won't ever be punished. The only avenue was to beat him.